WNBA Playoffs, Standings, and Projections: Sky Keeps Aces Repelled, Sun; Race to heat the low seed

With just over two weeks left in the WNBA 2022 regular season, the picture for the final is starting to heat up. Five teams have hit playoff tickets – Chicago Sky, Las Vegas Ice, Connecticut Sun, Seattle Storm and Washington Mystics – while the Indiana Fever is the only team to be eliminated.

If we look closely, there were no trapped seeds, and there were still some exciting racing. The top three teams are in search of the top seed. Storm and the mystics vie for fourth place. Six teams from sixth to eleventh are in real scrap for the last three places.

As a reminder, the WNBA once again changed the match system. While the top eight teams will go on to make the playoffs, there are no more goodbyes left. Instead, each team will begin play in the first round in a standard bracket format featuring seed #1 vs. seed #8, seed #2 vs. seed #7, seed #3 vs. seed #6 and seed #4 vs. seed #5. No re-ranking will be made. Bow after the first round.

The first round matches will be the best of the three series, with the top seed playing matches 1 and 2 at home, and the lower seed hosting the third game. A -2-1 format, which means that the higher seeded team will host matches 1, 2 and 5, while the lower seeded team will host matches 3 and 4.

current arrangement

1. Chicago Sky (23-7) – Play-off resolved

2- Las Vegas Ice (8-22) – Play-off resolved

3. Connecticut Sun (20-10) – Play-off resolved

4. Seattle Storm (19-12) – Play-off resolved

5 – Sophie Washington (19-12) – Play-off resolved

6. Dallas Wings (13-16)

7. Phoenix Mercury (13-17)

8. Los Angeles Sparks (12-17)

9. Atlanta Dream (12-18)

10- Minnesota Linux (12-19)

11. New York Liberty (11-18)

12- Indiana fever (5-27) – disqualification

With the movement still under the sprawl, here’s a closer look at the image of the final match:

The race for number 1

1. Chicago Sky (23-7) – Playoff match decided

  • Remaining games: 6 (including Aces)
  • break break: Aces: 1-1 in the season series with one game remaining; Against Sun: Won the Season Series 3-0
  • Current first round match: Opposite No. 8 Los Angeles Sparks

Despite Candice Parker’s absence, Team Sky achieved a very impressive victory over the Sun in overtime on Sunday. With this result, they moved to 3-0 against the Sun in the season and secured the tiebreak between the two teams. They also maintained their single possession of first place.

2. Las Vegas Aces (22-8) – Playoff Resolution

  • Remaining games: 6 (including vs heaven)
  • break break: vs. Sky: 1-1 in the season series with one game remaining; vs. Sun: Won Season Series 2-1
  • Current first round match: Opposite the Mercury Phoenix number

The Aces are still burning, and have now won four straight and seven of eight since the All-Star break. Unfortunately for them, it wasn’t enough to surpass Heaven, who had been just as good since play resumed. The Aces have one match left from the start with one match left against Heaven.

3. Connecticut Sun (10-20) – Cut-off point

  • Remaining games: 6
  • break break: vs. Sky: Lost Season Series 0-3; Versus Aces: The Lost Season, Series 1-2
  • Current first round match: against Dallas Wings

The Sun’s hopes of chasing the sky all ended on Sunday when they blew up a six-point lead in the final two minutes of overtime. With this loss, they lost the season tiebreaker between the two teams and are now three games behind in the standings. With only six matches left, they are now likely to head into third place.

Two teams compete for fourth place

4. Seattle Storm (18-11)

  • Remaining games: 5
  • break break: vs. Mystics: Win the Season Series 2-1
  • Current first round match: Opposite No. 5 Washington Mystics

5 – Sophia Washington (18-11)

  • Remaining games: 5
  • break break: Against the Storm: The Lost Season, Series 1-2
  • Current first round match: Against No. 4 Seattle Storm

One of the tightest races at the moment is in the middle of the standings as Storm and Mystics go head-to-head for fourth place and a home ground advantage in the first round of qualifying. On Saturday, Storm gained the upper hand by defeating the Mystics in the first game of a consecutive weekend to secure the season series.

However, the Mystics rebounded on Sunday with a decisive three-point victory to tie again in the standings. Although the Mystics don’t have the tiebreak, they have an easier schedule along the stretch, and they still have a good chance of finishing fourth.

Spots 6-8 are up to catch

6. Dallas Wings (13-16)

  • Remaining games: 7 (including against Liberty x2, at Mercury, at Sparks)
  • break break: against Mercury: 2-1 in the season series with one game remaining; Against Sparks: 1-2 in the season series with one game remaining; Versus the Dream: The Lost Season 1-2 Series; vs Liberty: 1-0 in the season series with two games left; vs Lynx: won the season series 2-1
  • Current first round match: Opposite No. 3 Connecticut Sun

The Wings have lost seven of their last 10 matches heading into Saturday, but took a massive win over Dream to get them back on track. Plus, they jumped all the way up to sixth place in the crowded standings. They still have a lot of work to do, but beating the dream was a huge step towards the emergence of a second straight playoff.

7. Phoenix Mercury (13-17)

  • Remaining games: 6 (including in exchange for Freedom and Wings)
  • break break: vs. Sparks: Season Series tied 2-2, currently owns a tiebreaker with a better record against teams above .500; Against the Wings: 1-2 in the season series with one game remaining; Versus the Dream: The Lost Season 1-2 Series; vs. Liberty: 1-1 in the season series with one game remaining; Lynx vs: Lost Season Series 0-3
  • Current first round match: Opposite No. 2 Las Vegas Ice

Mercury’s tough East Coast run got off to a rough start with a 20-point loss to Liberty. Not a good result, but not a disaster either given that they are still alone in seventh and could win the tiebreak against Liberty if he beats them at home later in the season.

8. Los Angeles Sparks (12-17)

  • Remaining games: 7 (including in Liberty x2, in Dream, versus Wings)
  • break break: vs. Sparks: Season Series tied 2-2, currently losing tiebreak via a worse record against teams above 0.500; Against the Wings: 2-1 in the season series with one game remaining; vs Dream: 1-1 in the season series with one game remaining; vs Liberty: 1-0 in the season series with two games left; Lynx vs: Lost Season Series 1-2
  • Current first round match: Against No. 1 Chicago Sky

The Sparks slide continued on Sunday as they lost to the Lynx and in the process lost the tiebreak between the two teams. They have now lost three times in a row and are clinging to eighth and final place in the playoff by a thread. Their encounter with Liberty this week will be crucial.

9. Atlanta Dream (12-18)

  • Remaining games: 6 (including vs. Sparks, at Lynx, vs. Liberty, at Liberty)
  • break break: vs. Mercury: won the season series 2-1; Sparks: 1-1 in the season series with one game remaining; Against the Wings: won the season series 2-1; vs. Liberty: 1-1 in the season series with two games remaining; Lynx vs: 1-1 in the season series with one game remaining
  • Current first round match: Unavailable

There’s never a good time to lose four games in a row, but the final month of the season is especially painful. This current slice has knocked the dream out of the playoff picture, and after Saturday’s crushing defeat to the wings, they are now in a full game of eighth. The good news is that they either win or draw in every single playoff, which could give them the upper hand in a playoff at the end of the season.

10- Minnesota Linux (12-19)

  • Remaining games: 5 (including vs dream)
  • break break: vs. Mercury: won the season series 3-0; vs. Sparks: won the season series 2-1; Against the Wings: The Lost Season, 1–2 series; vs Dream: 1-1 in the season series with one game remaining; vs. Liberty: Win the Season Series 2-1
  • Current first round match: Unavailable

Lynx has only been on the ropes for a few days now, but this team isn’t going to give up. After two back-to-back wins over fellow qualifiers, Dream and Sparks, they are now just one game behind eighth-placed Sparks and own the tiebreaker between the two teams. Their remaining schedule is tough, but they’re still in the mix.

11. New York Liberty (11-18)

  • Remaining games: 7 (including vs. Sparks x2, in Mercury, in Wings x2, in Dream, vs. Dream)
  • break break: against Mercury: 1-1 in the season series with one game remaining; vs. Sparks: 0-1 in the season series with two games remaining; Against the Wings: 0-1 in the season series with two games remaining; Against the Dream: 1-1 in the season series with two games remaining; Lynx vs: Lost Season Series 1-2
  • Current first round match: Unavailable

Liberty scored a much-needed win on Sunday by crushing visiting Mercury. That, combined with losses by other teams ahead of them, means they are now only one game behind eighth-placed Sparks, who are playing twice this week. A potential Liberty rescue blessing that descends along their schedule has always been; Now they need to take advantage of it.

The bottom of the separating picture is a bit of a mess, with the six teams between sixth and eleventh places in the standings separated by just two games. Each team has at least one match left against the other teams in this group, and only a few tiebreakers have been settled. All this means that the current arrangement will not remain the same for long.

exclusion

12- Indiana fever (5-27)

The Fever has now lost 14 consecutive games and was the first team to be eliminated from the playoffs. With the sixth consecutive lottery on the way, they’ll be hoping for some luck with ping pong balls to help end the worst stretch in franchise history.