Is Draymond Green worth the maximum contract? The Warriors face a tough decision as the extension approaches

This is a great week for Draymond Green and the Warriors.

why? Starting Wednesday, August 3, Green is entitled to sign a multi-year extension with Golden State.

It will be interesting to see how the negotiations go. According to Anthony Slater of Athletic and Marcus Thompson IIGreene “wants and believes” that he deserves the maximum contract extension. However, The Warriors doesn’t seem to be quite on the same page.

Slater and Thompson noted in their report that “there is no current impact on any type of extension.” Golden State currently prefers to postpone the conversation until next summer, but that could have a ripple effect.

“While his desire to stay with the Warriors, Green is said to be willing to explore his outside options to get the type of contract he wants.” Slater and Thompson write. “This is a risk that the Warriors management seems prepared to take. Playing the green this season with a chip on his shoulder, motivated by proving to the league that he is worthy of the maximum contract, can have a positive impact on the pitch.”

Should Warriors give Green the extension he seeks to avoid feather stacking? There are some factors to consider.

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Draymond Green - FTR

How good is Draymond Green?

Green is a polarizing player, but there aren’t many who influence the game at the level he does.

Since being named the 35th pick in the 2012 NBA Draft, Green has racked up four All-Star picks, two All-NBA picks, a Defensive Player of the Year award, and seven All-Defensive picks.

Sounds like a lot of comprehensive selections, right? Only 18 players in NBA history have won more, a list that includes the likes of Tim Duncan (15), Kevin Garnett (12), Michael Jordan (9) and Dennis Rodman (8).

more: Nikola Jokic, Draymond Green titled the best second-round picks in NBA draft history

Even this does not affect the fairness of Green’s defensive effect. Quite simply, he is one of the smartest and most influential defenders who ever set foot on the basketball court. resident Strength in his early thirties. Had the injuries not been limited to 46 games in the 2021-22 season, he would likely have picked up the Defensive Player of the Year award.

From Green’s defense through Golden State to the 2022 title he tells you everything you need to know about what makes him special. He went from guarded by Nikola Jokic in the first round to Garen Jackson Jr. in the second round to Jalen Bronson in the conference finals to Jalen Brown and Robert Williams third in the finals. The Preparation Point out that he had great success against each of them.

If that wasn’t enough, players shoot 16.6 percentage points Worse than expected in the 2022 NBA playoffs when Greene was protecting the edge. So not only does he have the strength to defend a bruised position like Jokic and the speed to keep up with a skilled goalkeeper like Brunson, but he’s a nightmare to score in the basket.

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It is difficult to quantify Greene’s impact on crime. He’s averaged just 7.4 points per game since the 2018-2019 season, and his 38.8 per cent defeat of his 3-point attempts in 2015-16 proved he was out of the ordinary.

If you look for how much Green’s accuracy from different shooting positions is stacked with other players on his site cleaning the glassesyou will see a lot of blue, which means it is below average.

Obviously this is a problem that will likely get worse as he gets older, but Green makes up for some of the scoring and shooting limitations with his passes.

There is something to be said about knowing one’s weaknesses. Will warriors take advantage of the green-eyed aspiration to score more sometimes? Sure, but the shots he doesn’t usually go to Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson, two of the greatest shooters in NBA history.

Greene’s chemistry with Carrie in particular is almost unparalleled. They form a punishing duo that is growing For every little mistake.

There are other things Green does that don’t appear in the score box, Game 2 of the 2022 NBA Finals is a great example. While his stats weren’t something to write home about, his fingerprints were all over the game. He definitely crossed the linebut the strength and physicality he brought reflected on everyone in the Warriors.

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Draymond Green Contract Details

Green signed a four-year, $100 million extension with the Warriors ahead of the 2019-20 season. He’s on the books for $25.8 million in 2022-23 and has a player option of $27.6 million in 2023-24. This means he could be an unrestricted free agent after next season.

According to Slater and ThomsonThe maximum extension Green can sign with the Warriors is four years, $138.4 million.

Draymond Green Contract
2022-23 2023-24 2024-25
Draymond Green $2,580,469 $27,586,225 (PO) UFA

s = Player’s Choice

UFA = Unrestricted Free Agent

How much is Draymond Green worth?

Steve Noh of TSN built a player contract evaluation model. You can read all about it over here.

Assuming Green plays 2,100 minutes next season, the Noh model values ​​Green at $31.0 million, just a little more than he would make. Green didn’t even come close to hitting the minute total this past season, and Noh’s model doesn’t take into account the age drop, but even a 20 percent dip would value it at $27.8 million.

This raises a more important question.

What do models say about the longevity of Draymond Green?

It’s fair to wonder how much Green, entering his 32-year-old season, has left in the tank. Darkowho called NoahThe best general predictive model out thereIt can provide some insight.

There’s no obvious comparison to Green because he’s a one-of-a-kind player, but Metta World Peace, Tony Allen and Ben Wallace fit the bill for defensive professionals with limited offensive games. (To be clear, this applies more to Green, Allen, and Wallace than it does to Metta World Peace, but he’s still known more for his defense than his attack.)

Based on the DPM, which measures a player’s overall impact on the field, Green had a rebound season in 2021-22, but it’s clear that Metta World Peace, Allen and Wallace have all been on the decline at the same point in their careers.

This is supposed to give warriors plenty to chew on as they navigate what could become choppy water if they aren’t careful.